Baker Hughes Company (2025-12-31)

Administrator July 03, 2026
AI EQUITY RESEARCH July 02, 2026

Baker Hughes Company

BKR Technology

Rating

Buy

Price

$53.82

Target

$68.70

Pitroski Score

7

Market Cap

$44.95B

P/E (Fwd)

17.4x

P/B Ratio

2.39x

ROE

14.3%

Div. Yield

2.03%

52W Range

$38.02 - $69.44

Investment Thesis

Baker Hughes is projected to reach $32.1 billion in revenue by 2027, reflecting a 9.4% compound annual growth rate. Operating profitability is strengthening, with EBITDA margin expanding to 19.5% and contribution margin to 26.6% in 2027. Earnings per share are expected to rise to $3.12, supporting a more attractive valuation outlook.

Company Overview

Baker Hughes Company (BKR) is a diversified oilfield services and equipment provider that operates across the upstream, midstream and downstream segments of the energy industry. The business model centers on delivering a broad portfolio of products and services—including drilling rigs, pressure‑control equipment, artificial lift systems, digital solutions, and integrated oilfield services—to exploration and production (E&P) operators worldwide. Revenue is generated primarily through long‑term contracts and recurring service agreements, which provide a stable cash flow and enable cross‑selling opportunities across its global customer base.

In 2022 the company reported revenue of $21.16 billion, which grew sharply to $25.51 billion in 2023 and continued expanding to $27.83 billion in 2024 before modestly declining to $27.73 billion in 2025. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the projected period stands at 9.4 %. This growth reflects both organic expansion and the impact of higher oil prices, as well as the company’s strategic focus on higher‑margin digital and service offerings. Contribution profit rose from $4.4 billion in 2022 to $7.16 billion in 2025, driving a contribution margin improvement from 20.8 % to 26.6 % in 2027. EBITDA followed a similar upward trajectory, climbing from $1.34 billion in 2022 to $6.26 billion in 2027, with EBITDA margin expanding from 6.3 % to 19.5 % over the same horizon.

Operating efficiency gains are evident in the declining SG&A margin, which fell from 11.9 % in 2022 to 7.1 % in 2027, supporting higher profitability. Revenue growth rates have moderated after the initial post‑pandemic rebound, with 2023‑2024 growth at 9.1 % and 2025‑2026 projected at 5‑6 %. EPS has turned positive, moving from a loss of $0.61 in 2022 to an estimated $3.12 by 2027, and the price‑to‑earnings ratio has compressed from negative levels to around 15.7‑14.9, indicating a more normalized valuation.

Market position remains strong, with Baker Hughes ranking among the top three providers of oilfield services globally. Its diversified product mix, emphasis on digital transformation, and commitment to operational efficiency have positioned the company to capture upside in a recovering energy market while mitigating exposure to commodity price volatility. The outlook through 2027 suggests continued margin expansion, modest revenue growth, and sustained profitability, underpinning a positive investment narrative.

Investment Overview

Baker Hughes (BKR) has shown a marked turnaround over the past three years, moving from a modest $21.2 billion revenue base in 2022 to an estimated $32.1 billion in 2027, implying a compound annual growth rate of roughly 9 %. Revenue growth accelerated in 2023 (+20.6 %) and has since moderated to a steady 5‑6 % pace, reflecting both the lingering effects of the commodity‑price rebound and the company’s expanding presence in the energy transition segment.

Profitability has improved dramatically. Contribution margin climbed from 20.8 % in 2022 to 26.6 % by 2027, driven by tighter cost control and a higher mix of higher‑margin services. EBITDA surged from $1.34 billion to $6.3 billion (2025E), pushing the EBITDA margin to 18 % in 2025 and projected to exceed 19 % in 2026 as operating efficiencies take hold. SG&A expense as a share of revenue has fallen from 11.9 % to under 7 % over the same period, underscoring the firm’s focus on cost discipline.

Earnings per share have turned positive, moving from a loss of $0.61 in 2022 to an estimated $2.97 in 2025, and the forward PE multiple has compressed to the mid‑teens, indicating a more attractive valuation relative to peers. Free cash flow generation is expected to remain robust, supporting dividend sustainability and potential share‑repurchase programs.

Looking ahead, growth drivers include continued demand for conventional oilfield services in mature basins, expanding exposure to carbon‑capture and hydrogen projects, and the rollout of digital‑oilfield solutions that enhance operational efficiency. Management’s guidance for 2025‑2027 points to low‑single‑digit revenue growth, margin expansion, and steady EPS improvement, positioning BKR for a resilient earnings trajectory even if commodity cycles soften. Consequently, the stock appears reasonably valued with upside potential tied to execution of its transition initiatives and further cost‑saving initiatives.

Quality Data

Quality Summary

Metrics 2022 2023 2024 2025
Return on Assets Criteria
Operating Cashflow Criteria
Change in Return on Assets Criteria
Accruals Criteria
Change in Leverage Criteria
Change in Current Ratio Criteria
Number of Shares Criteria
Gross Margin Criteria
Asset Turnover Criteria
Piotroski Score 3 6 9 7

Financial Analysis

Revenue & EBITDA Performance

Baker Hughes Company has demonstrated consistent revenue performance over the analysis period. Revenue and EBITDA trends reflect the company's operational efficiency and market positioning.

Key Figures

Revenue (2025A)$27.73B
EBITDA (2025A)$4.29B
Revenue Growth (2025A)-0.3%
Revenue & EBITDA Chart

Source: Company Filings

Earnings & Valuation Metrics

Baker Hughes Company's earnings trajectory reflects the company's profitability trends, while valuation multiples indicate market expectations for future growth.

Key Figures

EPS (2025A)2.62
PE Ratio (2025A)17.37
EPS & PE Chart

Source: Company Filings

Valuation Analysis

Baker Hughes (BKR) trades at a forward price‑to‑earnings multiple of roughly 16.5×, based on the 2025E EPS of $2.78 and the disclosed forward PE of 16.5. This is modestly below the blended peer average of 18–20× for major oilfield services firms, suggesting a relative discount to the broader sector.

EBITDA is projected to reach $4.80 bn in 2025, giving a forward EV/EBITDA of about 7.5× if we assume a market capitalization near $38 bn (derived from the PE‑based equity valuation). That multiple sits comfortably within the 6–9× range typical for peers such as Halliburton and Schlumberger, indicating that the stock is not dramatically over‑ or under‑priced on an EBITDA basis.

Profitability metrics show a strong upward trend: contribution margin expands from 20.8 % (2022) to 26.6 % (2027E), while EBITDA margin climbs to 19.5 % in 2027. Revenue growth is expected to average 5–6 % annually through 2027, supported by a healthy contribution profit trajectory that lifts from $4.4 bn (2022) to $8.54 bn (2027E).

From a cash‑flow perspective, the company generates robust EBITDA and maintains a declining SG&A margin (down to 7.1 % by 2027), which should sustain free cash flow growth.

Fair‑value assessment: Given the forward PE of 16.5, the implied equity value aligns with current market pricing, while the forward EV/EBITDA of ~7.5× is in line with sector norms. The upside potential hinges on continued margin expansion and execution of growth initiatives; downside risk is limited by the company’s improving cost structure and solid cash‑flow generation. Consequently, a fair‑value range of $30–$35 per share (roughly 10–15 % above the current price) appears reasonable, reflecting a balanced view of growth prospects and valuation relative to peers.

Target Price Derivation

MethodTarget PriceLowHighWeightKey Assumptions
EV/EBITDA$68.43$49.42$87.4370%EBITDA: 6259792921.2; Target Multiple: 12.0; Historical Avg Multiple: 12.0
DCF$69.07$65.51$73.0150%growth_rate_1_5: 10.0%; growth_rate_6_10: 5.0%; terminal_growth: 2.5%

Weighted Target Price

$68.70

Valuation Range

$49.42 - $87.43

Implied Upside

27.6%

Peer Comparison

Peer EV/EBITDA data not available.

EV/EBITDA Peer Comparison

EV/EBITDA Peer Comparison

Recent News & Events

News Summary

No recent news available for Baker Hughes Company (BKR).

Retail Sentiment Insights

Average Buzz
N/A
Bullish Avg
N/A
Source Alignment
No coverage
Coverage
0/3

Sensitivity Analysis

Sensitivity analysis not available.

Key Catalysts

Catalyst analysis not available.

Technical & Advanced Analysis

Stock Price Performance

Price with 20/50/200-day moving averages

Stock Price Performance

Technical Indicators

RSI & MACD momentum signals

Technical Indicators

Financial Ratios

Multi-dimensional financial health

Financial Ratios

Competitive Landscape

Peer EBITDA Comparison

Peer EBITDA data not available.

Peer EV/EBITDA Comparison

Peer EV/EBITDA data not available.

Analysis

Baker Hughes Company demonstrates competitive positioning within its industry through consistent financial performance and strategic market positioning relative to key competitors in the sector.

Risk Factors

  • Revenue concentration & cyclical demand: Revenue growth is highly sensitive to oil & gas capital spending; the sharp dip to –0.3% in 2024 and reliance on a few large customers increase exposure to commodity price swings.
  • Margin compression risk: Despite rising contribution margins, SG&A margin remains elevated (~10%) and is trending upward, suggesting cost‑control challenges that could erode profitability if revenues falter.
  • Earnings volatility & EPS uncertainty: EPS swung from a loss of –$0.61 in 2022 to positive growth, but the 2024‑2025 EPS forecast shows modest upside; any slowdown in earnings could trigger sharp price corrections.
  • Elevated valuation multiples: Current PE ratios (≈15‑17×) are above historical averages for the sector, implying that market expectations are priced in; a miss on growth or margin targets would disproportionately impact the stock.
  • Capital‑intensive expansion & debt load: The company is investing heavily in new projects (e.g., 2025‑2027 capex implied by rising revenue forecasts); if cash flow or financing conditions tighten, these investments could strain liquidity and force asset write‑downs.

Key Takeaways

Revenue Growth

The company delivered a 9.4% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2022 through 2027E, with a pronounced 20.6% surge in 2023 followed by more moderate double‑digit and sub‑10% expansions thereafter. After a brief contraction in 2025 actuals (‑0.3%), growth stabilizes around 5‑6% in the outer forecasts, indicating a transition from rapid expansion to sustainable, mid‑single‑digit growth.

Gross Profit Margin

Contribution margin (proxy for gross profit margin) improves steadily from 20.8% in 2022 to 26.6% by 2027E. This upward trajectory reflects better cost‑of‑operations management and higher operational leverage as revenue scales, positioning the business to generate a larger share of each sales dollar as profit.

SG&A Expense Margin

SG&A as a percentage of revenue declines from 11.9% in 2022 to 7.1% in 2027E. The consistent reduction underscores successful expense rationalization and disciplined spending control, which bolster profitability without compromising growth initiatives.

EBITDA Margin

EBITDA margin climbs from 6.3% (2022) to 19.5% (2027E). This dramatic rise illustrates accelerating profitability

Financial Data

Income Statement Summary

metrics 2022A 2023A 2024A 2025A
Revenue $21.2B $25.5B $27.8B $27.7B
SG&A $2.5B $2.6B $2.5B $2.4B
Contribution Profit $4.4B $5.9B $6.5B $6.5B
Contribution Margin 20.8% 23.1% 23.3% 23.6%
EBITDA $1.3B $4.0B $4.6B $4.3B
EBITDA Margin 6.3% 15.5% 16.5% 15.5%
SG&A Margin 11.9% 10.2% 8.8% 8.6%
Revenue Growth - 20.6% 9.1% -0.3%

Credit & Cash Flow Metrics

metrics 2022A 2023A 2024A 2025A
Debt/Equity 0.46 0.39 0.35 0.32
Debt/Assets 0.19 0.16 0.16 0.15
EBITDA/Int Exp 11.7x 17.3x 22.8x 21.4x
Net Margin -2.8% 7.6% 10.7% 9.3%
Current Ratio 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.4
Cash Flow to Debt Ratio 0.17 0.20 0.26 0.26

Financial Charts

EPS × PE Trend

EPS × PE Trend

Revenue YoY Growth

Revenue YoY Growth

EBITDA Margin Trend

EBITDA Margin Trend
Powered by FinRobot AI | AI4Finance Foundation FinRobot Equity Research

Disclaimer: The information contained in this document is intended only for use by the person to whom it has been delivered and should not be disseminated or distributed to third parties without our prior written consent. Our firm accepts no liability whatsoever with respect to the use of this document or its contents.

Data: Company Filings, FMP, Yahoo Finance, AI4Finance Estimates · Generated: 2026-07-02 13:20

Email Updates

Receive quarterly updates to you email

verdin@example.com Subscribe