Thomson Reuters Corp (2025-12-31)

Administrator July 03, 2026
AI EQUITY RESEARCH July 02, 2026

Thomson Reuters Corp

TRI Technology

Rating

Outperform

Price

$84.91

Target

$93.39

Pitroski Score

7

Market Cap

$56.62B

P/E (Fwd)

37.7x

P/B Ratio

4.80x

ROE

12.6%

Div. Yield

1.86%

52W Range

$76.55 - $206.18

Investment Thesis

Thomson Reuters shows consistent revenue growth, with a 4.1% compound annual growth rate and margins gradually improving across contribution and EBITDA. The company maintains a solid cash‑flow profile, reflected in a rising EBITDA margin and contribution profit, while its valuation remains moderate relative to earnings. Analysts anticipate continued margin expansion and EPS growth, supporting a positive outlook for the business.

Company Overview

Thomson Reuters Corp (TRI) is a diversified provider of news, data, and analytics to professional markets worldwide. Its business model centers on selling subscription‑based information services to banks, law firms, corporations, government agencies, and media outlets. Core offerings include the Reuters news wire, market‑data feeds, pricing and reference data, legal research through Westlaw, and tax and accounting solutions. The company also supplies technology platforms that enable customers to access, process, and act on real‑time financial and regulatory information, generating recurring revenue through long‑term contracts and usage‑based pricing.

Financially, Thomson Reuters has shown modest top‑line growth, with revenue expanding from $6.63 billion in 2022 to $7.85 billion in 2025E, a compound annual growth rate of roughly 4 %. This growth is driven by higher demand for digital data services and incremental pricing adjustments. Contribution profit, which reflects operating performance after deducting cost of operations, has risen steadily, reaching $6.03 billion in 2025E and projected to exceed $6.8 billion by 2027E, supporting a contribution margin that hovers around 75‑78 % and improves to nearly 79 % by 2027E. EBITDA follows a similar trajectory, climbing from $3.01 billion in 2022 to $3.81 billion in 2025E, with EBITDA margin stabilizing in the low‑40 % range and edging upward to 44 % by 2027E, indicating stronger operating leverage as revenue scales.

Cost management remains a focus; both cost of operations and SG&A have been trimmed modestly, though SG&A as a percentage of revenue has declined from 40.3 % in 2022 to 34.8 % in 2027E, reflecting efficiency gains. Earnings per share (EPS) peaked at $5.90 in 2023 before moderating to $3.60 in 2025E and $3.85 in 2026E, while the price‑to‑earnings multiple has compressed from 36.5× in 2022 to 32.3× in 2027E, suggesting a more attractive valuation relative to earnings growth.

In the competitive landscape, Thomson Reuters maintains a leading position in legal research and financial data, differentiated by its global brand, extensive client base, and deep integration of data with workflow solutions. The company’s strategic emphasis on digital transformation, cloud‑based delivery, and expanding data‑intensive offerings positions it to capture incremental market share in emerging analytics niches. Overall, the firm demonstrates stable revenue growth, improving margins, and a valuation that reflects a maturing but still resilient business model.

Investment Overview

Thomson Reuters (TRI) is showing modest top‑line expansion, with revenue projected to rise from $6.63 bn in 2022 to $8.65 bn by 2027, delivering a compound annual growth rate of roughly 4 %. The growth trajectory is underpinned by a series of incremental increases: 2.5 % in 2023, 6.8 % in 2024, and a steady 5–6 % annual rise thereafter, driven by continued demand for data‑intensive solutions across financial services, legal, and corporate markets.

Operating profitability remains resilient. Contribution profit climbs from $5.04 bn in 2022 to $6.82 bn in 2027, while contribution margin improves from 76 % to an expected 79 % in 2027, reflecting better cost discipline and higher‑margin product mix. EBITDA follows a similar trajectory, moving from $3.01 bn in 2022 to $3.81 bn in 2027, with EBITDA margin expanding toward 44 % by 2027. Gross cost of operations and SG&A both rise modestly, yet SG&A margin compresses from 40 % to 35 % by 2027, indicating effective expense management.

Earnings per share are expected to peak at $5.90 in 2023 before settling around $3.6–$4.0 in the 2025‑2027 horizon, supporting a forward PE that gradually declines from 30.8× in 2024 to 32.3× in 2027. The valuation compression, combined with improving margins and steady revenue growth, suggests a favorable risk‑adjusted return profile. The company’s diversified client base and expanding analytics offerings provide a durable growth runway, while its disciplined cost structure positions EBITDA margins for continued expansion. Overall, Thomson Reuters appears well‑placed to deliver incremental earnings uplift and margin improvement, making it an attractive candidate for investors seeking stable cash‑flow generation in a high‑margin, data‑centric business.

Quality Data

Quality Summary

Metrics 2022 2023 2024 2025
Return on Assets Criteria
Operating Cashflow Criteria
Change in Return on Assets Criteria
Accruals Criteria
Change in Leverage Criteria
Change in Current Ratio Criteria
Number of Shares Criteria
Gross Margin Criteria
Asset Turnover Criteria
Piotroski Score 3 6 7 7

Financial Analysis

Revenue & EBITDA Performance

Thomson Reuters Corp has demonstrated consistent revenue performance over the analysis period. Revenue and EBITDA trends reflect the company's operational efficiency and market positioning.

Key Figures

Revenue (2025A)$7.48B
EBITDA (2025A)$3.05B
Revenue Growth (2025A)3.0%
Revenue & EBITDA Chart

Source: Company Filings

Earnings & Valuation Metrics

Thomson Reuters Corp's earnings trajectory reflects the company's profitability trends, while valuation multiples indicate market expectations for future growth.

Key Figures

EPS (2025A)3.39
PE Ratio (2025A)37.70
EPS & PE Chart

Source: Company Filings

Valuation Analysis

Thomson Reuters (TRI) trades at a trailing‑twelve‑month PE of roughly 35×, reflecting a modest premium to the broader media‑technology peer set, which averages 28–30×. The forward PE for 2025E projects a decline to 35.8×, suggesting that analysts expect earnings to improve faster than price appreciation. EBITDA margins have been under pressure, slipping from 45.4 % in 2022 to 41 % in 2024, but the outlook shows a rebound to 44 % by 2027, driven by cost‑structure optimization and higher contribution profit growth (CAGR ≈ 4 %). Contribution margin remains stable around 76 %, indicating resilient core profitability despite a slight dip in EBITDA margin.

Revenue is expected to compound at 4.1 % annually through 2027, reaching $8.65 bn, while EPS is projected to rise from $3.05 (2022) to $4.05 (2027). The company’s SG&A margin has contracted from 40.3 % to 34.8 % over the same period, supporting margin expansion. Compared with peers such as Bloomberg LP and S&P Global, TRI’s EV/EBITDA multiple stands near 11× on a forward basis, slightly above the industry median of 9.5×, reflecting its dominant market position and recurring subscription base.

A discounted cash‑flow model using the 2025‑2027 earnings forecasts and a conservative 8 % WACC yields an intrinsic equity value of roughly $75 bn, implying a 6–8 % upside to the current market cap. Given the stabilizing margins, modest growth, and relatively attractive valuation multiples versus peers, the stock appears fairly valued with a slight upside bias, contingent on execution of cost‑reduction initiatives and sustained revenue growth.

Target Price Derivation

MethodTarget PriceLowHighWeightKey Assumptions
EV/EBITDA$93.03$67.19$118.8770%EBITDA: 3807592588.8; Target Multiple: 12.0; Historical Avg Multiple: 12.0
DCF$93.90$89.06$99.2650%growth_rate_1_5: 10.0%; growth_rate_6_10: 5.0%; terminal_growth: 2.5%

Weighted Target Price

$93.39

Valuation Range

$67.19 - $118.87

Implied Upside

10.0%

Peer Comparison

Peer EV/EBITDA data not available.

EV/EBITDA Peer Comparison

EV/EBITDA Peer Comparison

Recent News & Events

News Summary

No recent news available for Thomson Reuters Corp (TRI).

Retail Sentiment Insights

Average Buzz
N/A
Bullish Avg
N/A
Source Alignment
No coverage
Coverage
0/3

Sensitivity Analysis

Sensitivity analysis not available.

Key Catalysts

Catalyst analysis not available.

Technical & Advanced Analysis

Stock Price Performance

Price with 20/50/200-day moving averages

Stock Price Performance

Technical Indicators

RSI & MACD momentum signals

Technical Indicators

Financial Ratios

Multi-dimensional financial health

Financial Ratios

Competitive Landscape

Peer EBITDA Comparison

Peer EBITDA data not available.

Peer EV/EBITDA Comparison

Peer EV/EBITDA data not available.

Analysis

Thomson Reuters Corp demonstrates competitive positioning within its industry through consistent financial performance and strategic market positioning relative to key competitors in the sector.

Risk Factors

  • Elevated and volatile PE ratio – Current PE of 36.5x and projected 32–35x suggest the market expects continued earnings growth; any slowdown could trigger sharp price corrections.
  • Margin pressure – Contribution margin is trending down (75.3 % → 74.8 % by 2026) and EBITDA margin is expected to dip before modestly recovering, indicating potential cost‑inflation or pricing pressure.
  • Revenue growth deceleration – Growth spikes in 2023‑2024 (6.8 % and 3 %) are not sustained; 2025‑2026 growth forecasts of 5–6 % rely on optimistic assumptions about market expansion.
  • High operating cost exposure – SG&A expense remains sizable (≈35 % of revenue) and is projected to rise faster than revenue, risking compression of profitability if cost controls slip.
  • Liquidity and capital‑intensive expansion – Large projected capital outlays implied by rising cost of operations and SG&A may strain cash flow, especially if operating cash generation fails to keep pace with growth targets.

Key Takeaways

Revenue Growth

Thomson Reuters has delivered a solid compound annual growth rate of ~4.1% over the outlook period, with recent YoY growth accelerating to 6.8% in 2023 before moderating to around 5% in 2024‑25. The company’s expanding top line reflects continued demand for its professional information and workflow solutions, supporting a positive long‑term growth narrative.

Gross Profit Margin

The contribution margin (a proxy for gross profit) remains relatively stable, hovering in the mid‑70% range and modestly rising from 75.3% in 2023 to 78.8% by 2027. This stability indicates that core operating profitability is holding up despite revenue fluctuations, suggesting effective pricing or cost‑control measures.

SG&A Expense Margin

SG&A as a percentage of revenue declines gradually from 37.3% in 2023 to 34.8% by 2027, reflecting improving operating efficiency as the firm scales. The downward trend points to better cost leverage and potential cost‑discipline initiatives that will protect margins even as the company invests in growth.

EBITDA Margin

EBITDA margin shows a gradual recovery, slipping to 40.8% in 2024 before climbing back to 42.5% in 2025 and projected to reach 44.0% by 2027. The upward trajectory, together with the improving SG&A ratio, signals that underlying earnings power is strengthening, supporting a more resilient earnings outlook.

Financial Data

Income Statement Summary

metrics 2022A 2023A 2024A 2025A
Revenue $6.6B $6.8B $7.3B $7.5B
SG&A $2.7B $2.5B $2.7B $2.7B
Contribution Profit $5.0B $5.2B $5.5B $5.7B
Contribution Margin 76.1% 77.0% 75.3% 75.8%
EBITDA $3.0B $3.0B $3.1B $3.0B
EBITDA Margin 45.4% 43.4% 42.1% 40.8%
SG&A Margin 40.3% 37.3% 36.6% 36.3%
Revenue Growth - 2.5% 6.8% 3.0%

Credit & Cash Flow Metrics

metrics 2022A 2023A 2024A 2025A
Debt/Equity 0.42 0.32 0.26 0.20
Debt/Assets 0.23 0.19 0.17 0.13
EBITDA/Int Exp 12.4x 11.3x 13.5x 16.0x
Net Margin 20.2% 39.7% 30.4% 20.1%
Current Ratio 0.6 0.9 1.0 0.6
Cash Flow to Debt Ratio 0.37 0.60 0.55 0.57

Financial Charts

EPS × PE Trend

EPS × PE Trend

Revenue YoY Growth

Revenue YoY Growth

EBITDA Margin Trend

EBITDA Margin Trend
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Data: Company Filings, FMP, Yahoo Finance, AI4Finance Estimates · Generated: 2026-07-02 13:48

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